2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and decide

The 2012 Euro Cup is right down to a final four teams, then when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon they will be playing to take care of the winner in the Spain vs. Portugal game that can place later today.
Recent history between those two teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't value yesteryear, they're focused on the action taking place.
The German squad have not beaten Italy in the competitive match.
"We can't turn back time, forget about over it, days gone by doesn't may play a role in our planning," said German Coach Joachim here Loew. "Another stat is Germany has not won against Italy inside a major tournament, but so what?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it's the perfect time for Germany to win as they're the favorite at -135. The Over/Under number is 2.5.
This game will be a difficult, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong method with this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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